Author Topic: Student Loan Bubble
-Espiritu- 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
$1 Trillion in outstanding loans
$270 Billion outstanding that are 30+ days late more (Fitch)

Since these loans are financed primarilly by the US taxpayer, there is no institution to bailout for lending to people unqualified to repay. I wouldn't be surprised if President Obama announces some relief/forgiveness program early in his second term.

 

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Ashmaele 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
There are already forgiveness programs in place. Student loan default is pretty far down on the list of things to worry about.

 

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-Espiritu- 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Ashmaele posted:
There are already forgiveness programs in place. Student loan default is pretty far down on the list of things to worry about.


The new normal = a $1 trillion taxpayer liability, that is showing serious signs of distress, isn't really a big deal.

 

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Tych2 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
-Espiritu- posted:
I wouldn't be surprised if President Obama announces some relief/forgiveness program early in his second term.
I hope not for another six to eight years.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Ashmaele posted:
There are already forgiveness programs in place. Student loan default is pretty far down on the list of things to worry about.


Explain them and back that up.

Everything I've come across say there's no way to discharge most of the private loans excepting death. And, any "forgiveness" is usually just "partial deferment" which renders you a debt slave for life.

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
I don't think any relief will be incoming. Students don't have nearly as powerful of a lobby as the megabanks do.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
I don't think there's much relief coming, except SOME for the institutions who will be asked to take losses in the form of deferments. (And even at that, there won't be much relief).

Why? We don't HAVE much relief left to give and we're indebted out the ass -- both publicly and privately. Simple as that.

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
I don't think there's much relief coming, except SOME for the institutions who will be asked to take losses in the form of deferments. (And even at that, there won't be much relief).

Why? We don't HAVE much relief left to give and we're indebted out the ass -- both publicly and privately. Simple as that.
But 700 Bn for banks and auto manufacturers is A-OKAY!

Of course there's money to loan. Even you're not that dense. It doesn't mean loaning it is the wise thing to do, but goverment overstepped the boundaries of wisdom long ago.

 

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Cawlin 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
I don't think there's much relief coming, except SOME for the institutions who will be asked to take losses in the form of deferments. (And even at that, there won't be much relief).

Why? We don't HAVE much relief left to give and we're indebted out the ass -- both publicly and privately. Simple as that.
But 700 Bn for banks and auto manufacturers is A-OKAY!

Of course there's money to loan. Even you're not that dense. It doesn't mean loaning it is the wise thing to do, but goverment overstepped the boundaries of wisdom long ago.


So might as well throw some good money after bad right?

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
But 700 Bn for banks and auto manufacturers is A-OKAY!



Yeah. That's exactly what I'm saying. Or have ever said. tired

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
ZigmundZag posted:
But 700 Bn for banks and auto manufacturers is A-OKAY!



Yeah. That's exactly what I'm saying. Or have ever said. tired
No, you said there's no money left to loan, to which I provided an example to counter. Putting my reply in a context that made you look like an idiot is just an Outpost service most of us offer free of charge.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
No, I said there's not much left FOR BAILOUTS. Re-read Zig. You're going down a totally different road.

Touchy nerves on that topic, much?

 

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Ashmaele 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
Ashmaele posted:
There are already forgiveness programs in place. Student loan default is pretty far down on the list of things to worry about.


Explain them and back that up.

Everything I've come across say there's no way to discharge most of the private loans excepting death. And, any "forgiveness" is usually just "partial deferment" which renders you a debt slave for life.




IIRC if you pay on them reliably for a certain # of years they get automatically discharged (I think 25 years but there is a push to have that number lowered). There are also other ways to get payments reduced or eliminated (public service, etc). Here's a link describing one of the programs, I'm pretty sure there are others: http://studentaid.ed.gov/PORTALSWebApp/students/english/PSF.jsp

You are correct that they cannot be discharged through bankruptcy, though.

I know a guy who defaulted on his loans. He finally got back on track after getting a new job but it was an ugly couple of years for him. He basically had his entire income tax refund confiscated by the gubmint. They'll get their money!

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
Why? We don't HAVE much relief left to give and we're indebted out the ass -- both publicly and privately. Simple as that.

 

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Yukishiro1 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
Ashmaele posted:
There are already forgiveness programs in place. Student loan default is pretty far down on the list of things to worry about.


Explain them and back that up.

Everything I've come across say there's no way to discharge most of the private loans excepting death. And, any "forgiveness" is usually just "partial deferment" which renders you a debt slave for life.




Only idiots take out private loans, and private loans make up a very small % of that trillion. IBR will let you scale your payments to your income and end up forgiving your federal loans after 25 years of those income-scaled payments.

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
No, I said there's not much left FOR BAILOUTS. Re-read Zig. You're going down a totally different road.

Touchy nerves on that topic, much?

Umm, don't bailouts usually come in the form of...oh what do you call it when you give somebody some money and you ask them to pay you back later?

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
<missing the point>


Re-read what I said, what I said about the form of bail-outs presumed, etc.

I'm not going to re-type across 6 posts as you string out your mistake in reading trying to save face.

 

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theredkay1 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Seems like the easy solution is to just change the law so that student loan debts can be negotiated in bankruptcy. Maybe put in some kind of minimum time hurdle to get over the moral hazard problems....like you have to be paying it back for X years before you can discharge it.

The current setup is bonkers.

- or if you want to keep the current setup, rates need to reflect that and be set at something just above the Fed funds rate.

 

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Hammerhand21 
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I literally just got done paying off my student loans a few months ago. I was reading about this and was getting mad.

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Yukishiro1 posted:
Only idiots take out private loans, and private loans make up a very small % of that trillion.
20% is not small.

Wikipedia posted:
In June 2010, the amount of student loan debt held by Americans exceeded the amount of credit card debt held by Americans. At that time, student loan debt totaled at least $830 billion, of which approximately 80% was federal student loan debt and 20%was private student loan debt. In October 2011, the total amount of money owed in student loan debt was said to exceed $ 1 trillion.

 

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Ashmaele 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
There actually has been an OWS-inspired movement to forgive student loan debt, fwiw. I don't expect it to happen because struggling college grads typically do not have the lobbying power that Wall Street banks possess. I think the country is done with bailouts for the most part.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
theredkay1 posted:
Seems like the easy solution is to just change the law so that student loan debts can be negotiated in bankruptcy.


Yeah. It's always easy to renegotiate away other people's money and income stream from payments.

Easy-peasy. And oh so just.

 

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Yukishiro1 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
Yukishiro1 posted:
Only idiots take out private loans, and private loans make up a very small % of that trillion.
20% is not small.


Well, if you want to get all Paulg about it, I'd say it's "small" but not "very small." hugs

Also, I will amend my previous statement a little. Only idiots and people with asshole parents who can but won't pay for college end up getting private loans. I knew someone like that. His parents were well off so he didn't get financial aid for undergrad, but they were also douchecanoes and wouldn't pay or even lend him the money, so he had to take out private loans.

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
ZigmundZag posted:
<missing the point>


Re-read what I said, what I said about the form of bail-outs presumed, etc.

I'm not going to re-type across 6 posts as you string out your mistake in reading trying to save face.
Reread what exactly? You didn't even mention bailouts until you started backpedaling.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
typical OP face-saving


/ignore

 

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theredkay1 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
theredkay1 posted:
Seems like the easy solution is to just change the law so that student loan debts can be negotiated in bankruptcy.


Yeah. It's always easy to renegotiate away other people's money and income stream from payments.

Easy-peasy. And oh so just.



I know you think that debt peonage economy (with debtors prisons and all) is really a good idea.

But it is bad for the economy. Your moral guide is to make yourself subservient to lenders...and while thats fine for you, its not really a good policy.

There really isnt a good argument, economic or moral, for treating student debt as a lifelong anchor. Every advanced economy agrees that the ability to negotiate or eliminate past debts is a positive for the economy as a whole. No reason to treat student debt any differently outside of a desire to provide the government and private lenders a huge taxpayer handout.

 

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Cawlin 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Yukishiro1 posted:
ZigmundZag posted:
Yukishiro1 posted:
Only idiots take out private loans, and private loans make up a very small % of that trillion.
20% is not small.


Well, if you want to get all Paulg about it, I'd say it's "small" but not "very small." hugs

Also, I will amend my previous statement a little. Only idiots and people with asshole parents who can but won't pay for college end up getting private loans. I knew someone like that. His parents were well off so he didn't get financial aid for undergrad, but they were also douchecanoes and wouldn't pay or even lend him the money, so he had to take out private loans.


Honestly, I think that the kid's parents probably taught him some valuable lessons about taking classes that were a) worthwhile, and b) applying himself so as to get the most out of his education dollars.

With that said, I think it would be better perhaps to let the kid take the loans out themselves under the premise that they're on their own for getting their college education financed, and then help them pay them off afterward. As much as you hate the concept of attempting to make people, especially young adults be responsible for themselves, I know this rankles you to think about, but I don't really think parents should feel obligated to pay for their kids to get a degree Indo-Eurasian Orphan Poetry Analysis...

 

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Yukishiro1 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
If you made student loan debt dischargable rates would go up and/or eligibility would be tightened.

Which probably isn't a bad thing for private loans. Because people shouldn't be taking those out anyhow without a very good reason.

I doubt it would effect the federal stuff much given IBR already exists.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
theredkay1 posted:
I know you think that debt peonage economy (with debtors prisons and all) is really a good idea.

But it is bad for the economy. Your moral guide is to make yourself subservient to lenders...and while thats fine for you, its not really a good policy.

There really isnt a good argument, economic or moral, for treating student debt as a lifelong anchor. Every advanced blah blah blah <morality play strawman bullshite>


I am not against future contracts being crafted that don't have lifelong debt slavery as a part of them. Have at.

I am against punishing or bailing out those who went into these arrangements voluntarily IN THE PAST who have active contracts now. I felt the same about the banks who got massive bailouts, btw. And have said so a couple times.

 

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Yukishiro1 
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Cawlin posted:
Honestly, I think that the kid's parents probably taught him some valuable lessons about taking classes that were a) worthwhile, and b) applying himself so as to get the most out of his education dollars.

With that said, I think it would be better perhaps to let the kid take the loans out themselves under the premise that they're on their own for getting their college education financed, and then help them pay them off afterward. As much as you hate the concept of attempting to make people, especially young adults be responsible for themselves, I know this rankles you to think about, but I don't really think parents should feel obligated to pay for their kids to get a degree Indo-Eurasian Orphan Poetry Analysis...


No. All his parents did was make sure he'll be shackled to debt at highish interest rates for most of the rest of his life. At least until they die and he gets their money and can use that to pay off his debts. Which at 6% interest will end up costing the family at least 2x as much in the long run.

The funny thing is both of them got their college educations paid by their well-off parents. They are just assholes who think like you do that it "builds character" to screw over their kid. People who talk about "building character" as a justification for screwing people over are nearly always lacking in the character department themselves.

These people are such douches they wouldn't even lend their kid the money themselves to avoid the 8% interest. Even though they have plenty of it lying around.

 

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Cawlin 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Yukishiro1 posted:
Cawlin posted:
Honestly, I think that the kid's parents probably taught him some valuable lessons about taking classes that were a) worthwhile, and b) applying himself so as to get the most out of his education dollars.

With that said, I think it would be better perhaps to let the kid take the loans out themselves under the premise that they're on their own for getting their college education financed, and then help them pay them off afterward. As much as you hate the concept of attempting to make people, especially young adults be responsible for themselves, I know this rankles you to think about, but I don't really think parents should feel obligated to pay for their kids to get a degree Indo-Eurasian Orphan Poetry Analysis...


No. All his parents did was make sure he'll be shackled to debt at highish interest rates for most of the rest of his life. At least until they die and he gets their money and can use that to pay off his debts. Which at 6% interest will end up costing the family at least 2x as much in the long run.

The funny thing is both of them got their college educations paid by their well-off parents. They are just assholes who think like you do that it "builds character" to screw over their kid. People who talk about "building character" as a justification for screwing people over are nearly always lacking in the character department themselves.

These people are such douches they wouldn't even lend their kid the money themselves to avoid the 8% interest. Even though they have plenty of it lying around.


I will agree that if what you said is true, they are douches.

With that said though, I don't know how wealthy you'd have to be to be willing to pay $100k to $200k for your kid to get a dead-end degree and sleep through their classes because they were up all night drinking like fishes and fcuking everything that they could at an expensive school when they can do that for $150/credit hour at the local community college...

 

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Subject: Student Loan Bubble

There should be massive restrictions in place with government insured or backed loans. Just because you get into Harvard doesn't mean the government has to subsidize the madness of you racking up 150K in debt.

There should be a maximum per credit hour cap on student loans. For example you can get a max of $750 per credit hour...if you want to go somewhere that charges more you either pay for it directly, get a traditional non-government backed private loan, pay out of pocket or go somewhere cheaper like a community college.

It would reign in the rampant hyper-inflation of education costs due to schools knowing there is an everlasting faucet of cash. The education lobby would likely team up with lenders to scream bloody murder, spending 100s of millions (of student loan funded dollars) to stop any such reforms.

 

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-Espiritu- 
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If these institutions charging ridiculous tuition prices are really worth it, why don't they step up to the plate and subsidize the students themselves. If the education these students receive is really worth what they are charging, then they should have no problem collecting their principle + interest from these students once they start earning.

Of course there would be far less money for Womens Studies and Reproductive Advocacy degrees.

 

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Seething199 
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if RWN's ruled the education system the world would be so boring it wouldn't be worth living in. ironically, they'd be all for soviet style forcing of people to get a specific degree because it's "useful" as opposed to offering any sort of choice.

 

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Ashmaele 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Bowlartz posted:

There should be massive restrictions in place with government insured or backed loans. Just because you get into Harvard doesn't mean the government has to subsidize the madness of you racking up 150K in debt.


Harvard grads aren't the ones defaulting on their loans. It's the DeVry and University of Online University College grads who are the problem borrowers.

 

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^^ That. Bonzo is a poster child for RWN ignorance about education. How on earth have we reached a place where it seems to be part of general right-wing accepted knowledge that going to Harvard is a bad idea and people shouldn't be able to do it unless they're rich?

 

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GrilledCheez 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
social engineering needs to be thought out better. I am generally supportive of student loans and everyone going to college, but it didn't fit our employment or education model very well. I said this when Clinton enacted all his reforms around it.

 

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Friarspam 
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Yukishiro1 posted:
Cawlin posted:
Honestly, I think that the kid's parents probably taught him some valuable lessons about taking classes that were a) worthwhile, and b) applying himself so as to get the most out of his education dollars.

With that said, I think it would be better perhaps to let the kid take the loans out themselves under the premise that they're on their own for getting their college education financed, and then help them pay them off afterward. As much as you hate the concept of attempting to make people, especially young adults be responsible for themselves, I know this rankles you to think about, but I don't really think parents should feel obligated to pay for their kids to get a degree Indo-Eurasian Orphan Poetry Analysis...


No. All his parents did was make sure he'll be shackled to debt at highish interest rates for most of the rest of his life. At least until they die and he gets their money and can use that to pay off his debts. Which at 6% interest will end up costing the family at least 2x as much in the long run.

The funny thing is both of them got their college educations paid by their well-off parents. They are just assholes who think like you do that it "builds character" to screw over their kid. People who talk about "building character" as a justification for screwing people over are nearly always lacking in the character department themselves.

These people are such douches they wouldn't even lend their kid the money themselves to avoid the 8% interest. Even though they have plenty of it lying around.


I guess since it's THEIR money what they do with it is not your business or your friends, huh?

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Yukishiro1 posted:
^^ That. Bonzo is a poster child for RWN ignorance about education. How on earth have we reached a place where it seems to be part of general right-wing accepted knowledge that going to Harvard is a bad idea and people shouldn't be able to do it unless they're rich?


Right about the time soft sciences and their proponents became more and more affiliated with one political party and therefore suspect as means to an end, rather than actual unbiased sciences.

Therefore raising the question, "why are we paying to create biased ammunition via subsidies"?

Critical Race Theory is one that comes to mind...

 

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Cawlin 
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Bowlartz posted:

There should be massive restrictions in place with government insured or backed loans. Just because you get into Harvard doesn't mean the government has to subsidize the madness of you racking up 150K in debt.

There should be a maximum per credit hour cap on student loans. For example you can get a max of $750 per credit hour...if you want to go somewhere that charges more you either pay for it directly, get a traditional non-government backed private loan, pay out of pocket or go somewhere cheaper like a community college.

It would reign in the rampant hyper-inflation of education costs due to schools knowing there is an everlasting faucet of cash. The education lobby would likely team up with lenders to scream bloody murder, spending 100s of millions (of student loan funded dollars) to stop any such reforms.


The problem with this sort of thinking is that, as mentioned in the thread last week, the really good schools like Harvard don't let a qualified student not attend just because they can't afford it. The endowments for places like Harvard are so huge that the students are limited with respect to what they are charged based on their parents' income - and in one case I am sure of due to a coworker recently discussing it with me, will not charge the student more than 10% of their parents' income per year of school. Now of course that means that those who CAN pay, must pay more than those who cannot pay, but that's the model they're using.

The colleges that are really taking advantage of the system are the so-called "second tier" private schools - with the first tier being the Ivy League caliber schools.


With that said though, yes it honestly makes no sense to subsidize dead-end degrees. If we want to adopt all sorts of social programs like socialized healthcare and then go forward with the concept of limiting individuals' participation in so-called "unhealthy" behavior under the premise that they have no risk "wasting" public money that way, the same logic should be applied to education subsidies... of course that's an ideological catch-22, which is why the argument against it quickly gets deflected into a morass of rich vs. poor entitlement/social engineering/man keeping you down nonsense.

 

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paulg_68 
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Student loans cannot be a bubble. The whole point of calling something a bubble is that it can pop and value can be lost.

Existing college educations are not suddenly going to lose value because new students stop coming along and investing in them.

The price of college is irrationally high. That is not the same thing as a bubble.

Tech stocks in the 90s were a bubble. Housing in the 2000s were a bubble.

coffee

 

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Cawlin 
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paulg_68 posted:
Student loans cannot be a bubble. The whole point of calling something a bubble is that it can pop and value can be lost.

Existing college educations are not suddenly going to lose value because new students stop coming along and investing in them.

The price of college is irrationally high. That is not the same thing as a bubble.

Tech stocks in the 90s were a bubble. Housing in the 2000s were a bubble.

coffee



The term "bubble" is just easier than saying "spiraling upwards out of control with no basis in actual applied REAL value, in a typical course of action initiated by unscrupulous actors and propagated by those who are too ignorant or ideologically bound to failed concepts to admit that they're on the wrong course".


Further, I wonder how it will go when college loan debt starts to be sold into the private sector to help recoup the losses, and securities based on it are going through the roof and then suddenly there is some sort of debt forgiveness bill passed which suddenly makes all of that worthless...

 

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Yukishiro1 
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Again, real costs are not up all that much.

We have more student loan debt because anyone can now take out loans to attend a school, not because the real cost of the school is all THAT much higher.

Back in the day Harvard cost 20k in real costs for an upper-middle class dude and if you didn't have the money your only option was to try for a charity scholarship.

Now harvard costs 25k in inflation-adjusted real cost and if you don't have the money and can't get a charity scholarship you can borrow the money instead.

Price tags have gone up a lot but real cost has gone up much more modestly for middle class people. We have moved from a system where most people pay sticker price to a system where only rich people pay sticker price.

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Yukishiro1 posted:
Again, real costs are not up all that much.
Yes, they are.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Yukishiro1 posted:
Again, real costs are not up all that much.


Where does this talking point keep coming from in the Leftosphere over the last month?

It isn't true.

 

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Cawlin 
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Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
Yukishiro1 posted:
Again, real costs are not up all that much.


Where does this talking point keep coming from in the Leftosphere over the last month?

It isn't true.




It comes from using schools as an example which have used the model of differential pricing based on ability to pay, given certain qualifying factors aside from financial ability - i.e. if you can get into Harvard, you can go there, regardless of how much money you have.

Meanwhile, there are many many more colleges NOT using this model and that is where the debt balloon (since bubble is a verboten term I guess) is coming from.

 

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Seething199 posted:
if RWN's ruled the education system the world would be so boring it wouldn't be worth living in. ironically, they'd be all for soviet style forcing of people to get a specific degree because it's "useful" as opposed to offering any sort of choice.

That is a bunch of emo tears. No one gives a shit what degree someone gets, it comes down to people not wanting to pay for your masters degree in clown shoe design.

 

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Cawlin posted:
That is where the debt balloon (since bubble is a verboten term I guess) is coming from.


debt mountain of doom?

debt fkcking gaping chasm of death?

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
Cawlin posted:
That is where the debt balloon (since bubble is a verboten term I guess) is coming from.


debt mountain of doom?

debt fkcking gaping chasm of death?



Yeah I dunno dude, pick a term - I don't feel like mincing semantics about it lol!


I kind of prefer "balloon" because that implies there is a balloon knot which, when viewed end on, looks like what it is in this case - the stinking filthy orifice that will eventually spew a nasty mess all over...

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
Yukishiro1 posted:
Again, real costs are not up all that much.


Where does this talking point keep coming from in the Leftosphere over the last month?

It isn't true.




Those arn't real cost graphs, they're sticker price graphs. Sticker price makes for a better story.

Real costs are up modestly for established four year private colleges. Real costs are up a lot for state schools because states have cut funding, and real costs are up a lot for for-profit diploma mill schools because those schools didn't used to exist at all.

There are problems with the cost of college these days but it isn't a uniform across the board problem. The biggest problem is that state schools don't provide an affordable alternative any more because of budget cuts. The second biggest problem is that dumb people are going into debt to get degrees from worthless schools that don't help them with anything.

The idea that the problem is people getting humanities degrees at Harvard is silly. That isn't the problem at all.

 

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Yukishiro1 
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ZigmundZag posted:
Yukishiro1 posted:
Again, real costs are not up all that much.
Yes, they are.


No, they arn't. coffee

Sticker pricse are higher and state schools are passing more of the real costs on to the student because the state doesn't pay for it any more. Real costs have not changed all that dramatically.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Yukishiro1 posted:
Those arn't real cost graphs, they're sticker price graphs. Sticker price makes for a better story.


BS. They're the costs before someone ends up stepping in to grant charity or subsidy. And, they're based on cherry-picking a few institutions out of the universe of the whole.

So again... who in the left-o-sphere has concocted this bizarre perversion of fact? I've seen it hoisted (and rightfully shot to holy hell) a lot this month in various places.

 

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Cawlin 
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Debt is higher, on average, in adjusted dollars, per graduate than ever before.

Potential earnings, on average, in adjusted dollars, are declining.

 

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Yuki, President Obama says you're RONG

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
theredkay1 posted:
I know you think that debt peonage economy (with debtors prisons and all) is really a good idea.

But it is bad for the economy. Your moral guide is to make yourself subservient to lenders...and while thats fine for you, its not really a good policy.

There really isnt a good argument, economic or moral, for treating student debt as a lifelong anchor. Every advanced blah blah blah <morality play strawman bullshite>


I am not against future contracts being crafted that don't have lifelong debt slavery as a part of them. Have at.

I am against punishing or bailing out those who went into these arrangements voluntarily IN THE PAST who have active contracts now. I felt the same about the banks who got massive bailouts, btw. And have said so a couple times.


There may be a small cost imposed on lenders if this change was made. It would pale in comparison to the massive handout the current legislation has provided private lenders since it was enacted.

Since the financial bailouts happened, dont you have to support continuous future bailouts since contracts and expectations will price that in? That is the favored policy right now...and as long as banks have active contracts or continue to use financial instruments with this valuable policy baked into the price, you must continue to support bailouts in the future.

Or is this a case where you make an exception to being "against punishing or bailing out those who went into these arrangements voluntarily IN THE PAST who have active contracts now."?

 

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Bjorvald 
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Ashmaele posted:
Bowlartz posted:

There should be massive restrictions in place with government insured or backed loans. Just because you get into Harvard doesn't mean the government has to subsidize the madness of you racking up 150K in debt.


Harvard grads aren't the ones defaulting on their loans. It's the DeVry and University of Online University College grads who are the problem borrowers.


You might be surprised.. Just last week I read a story about ivy league student loan default. It's much bigger than you might think.

 

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Yukishiro1 
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I didn't realize Independent Moderates asked what Obama thought and then parroted him. grin

30 years ago if you couldn't pay the 20k real cost for a 4 real private college and you couldn't get a charity scholarship you couldn't go. These days you can choose to rack up debt. 30 years ago a state school would have only passed on about 20% of the real cost to its students, because 80% was funded by the state. These days the state school will pass on 50-80% instead. 30 years ago there were no for profit online diploma mills, so that wasn't even an option. Now if you are dumb you can rack up debt via that route.

Cost increases themselves are relatively modest. Only modestly higher than inflation.

Real costs are not up much. Average debt is up because people can now go to college whether or not they can afford to pay the real costs and because state schools have had funding cuts so they pass on more and more of the real cost to the student.

Average debt going up by X doesn't mean real costs are up to match. This is just basic math and reasoning.

 

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People are confusing 'cost' and 'tuition (cost to the student)' here. Tuition represents only part of the total cost of education.

The data does seem to support Yuki's point. Education costs are rising slowly, tuition costs are rising rapidly.

 

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I racked up about 2x the loans that my brother did. Both of us only accrued debt for the last 2 years of our 4-year degrees. I went about 10 years later than he did.

You're pretty far out of touch on this topic, Yuki. Maybe you're a trust fund kid whose parents paid your way through law school, or maybe you earned enough merit scholarships that you didn't bury yourself in debt. Whatever it was, I'm kinda surprised you're so far off the mark when you're pretty freshly out of college yourself.

 

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And Harvard is your illustrative example of this, right Yuki? That's the one you gave earlier itt.

I know what argument you THINK you're making about 'price' vs 'cost'. But again, I've seen this debunked a couple times already so I already know where you're screwing up Yuki.

Ponder it. I've already given you too many bread crumbs. I guess I'm feeling magnanimous today.

 

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Cawlin 
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theredkay1 posted:
People are confusing 'cost' and 'tuition (cost to the student)' here. Tuition represents only part of the total cost of education.

The data does seem to support Yuki's point. Education costs are rising slowly, tuition costs are rising rapidly.


Are you talking about room, board, and books? Or are you talking about time until loan repayment as some sort of additional amortized cost? Please clarify.

 

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theredkay1 posted:
Education costs are rising slowly, tuition costs are rising rapidly.


That's a pretty good explanation. Although again it's a little more complicated because in real terms tuition costs arn't up all that much either for 4 year private colleges. A large part of the tuition increase has been to cover the cost of providing financial aid to poorer students. Sticker price may be up hugely but hardly anyone pays sticker price any more.

Tuition costs are definitely up drastically for state schools. About 50% of that increase is from less state funding. 30% is from increased financial aid to offset the blow from the reduced funding on the poorer students. Only about 20% is actually real increased costs.

 

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Cawlin 
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Cawlin posted:
Debt is higher, on average, in adjusted dollars, per graduate than ever before.

Potential earnings, on average, in adjusted dollars, are declining.




It doesn't really matter if you want to talk about "sticker price" vs. "subsidized" price, the bottom line is that debt per graduate is STILL rising, with earnings prospects DECREASING.

 

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If college doesn't cost more then why are student loans up so much?

thinking

 

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ZigmundZag posted:
I racked up about 2x the loans that my brother did. Both of us only accrued debt for the last 2 years of our 4-year degrees. I went about 10 years later than he did.

You're pretty far out of touch on this topic, Yuki. Maybe you're a trust fund kid whose parents paid your way through law school, or maybe you earned enough merit scholarships that you didn't bury yourself in debt. Whatever it was, I'm kinda surprised you're so far off the mark when you're pretty freshly out of college yourself.




I understand the situation precisely because I am pretty freshly out of college.

Where did you two go to college? The same school? Was it a state school?

I have a lot of student debt too. Boalt's tuition cost has tripled in the past 20 years. But 80% of that increase is not from costs actually going up but from funding being cut and sticker price being inflated to pay for financial aid.


 

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Yukishiro1 posted:
I have a lot of student debt too. Boalt's tuition cost has tripled in the past 20 years. But 80% of that increase is not from costs actually going up but from funding being cut and sticker price being inflated to pay for financial aid.

Why didn't you get financial aid then instead of taking out loans?

confused

 

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paulg_68 posted:
If college doesn't cost more then why are student loans up so much?

thinking


Uh we just spent several posts going over this. Try reading first.

Here is the tl:dr version, since you apparently didn't:

Average debt is up because people can now choose to go to college by taking out loans, where before they didn't have that option. Average debt is also up because state schools have drastically cut funding, meaning the individual student now has to pay a larger portion of the cost.

Real education costs are up, but the increase is rather modest compared to the other metrics.

 

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paulg_68 posted:
Yukishiro1 posted:
I have a lot of student debt too. Boalt's tuition cost has tripled in the past 20 years. But 80% of that increase is not from costs actually going up but from funding being cut and sticker price being inflated to pay for financial aid.

Why didn't you get financial aid then instead of taking out loans?

confused


Professional schools are different Paul. There is not a whole lot of need-based aid available from the outset. Instead, they focus on debt forgiveness. For example, although I have significant student loans, Boalt is currently paying 90% of my monthly student loan bill, and will continue to do so as long as I work in public interest or public sector jobs and make under a certain income threshhold. Instead of subsidizing me up front, Boalt subsidizes me after graduation.

At Boalt sticker price goes up to subsidize paying off my loans for me. At the undergrad level sticker price goes up to lower the cost of attendence on the front end.

 

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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Whether it's increased costs or decreased funding, the end result is pretty much the same.

 

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Cawlin 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Yukishiro1 posted:
paulg_68 posted:
Yukishiro1 posted:
I have a lot of student debt too. Boalt's tuition cost has tripled in the past 20 years. But 80% of that increase is not from costs actually going up but from funding being cut and sticker price being inflated to pay for financial aid.

Why didn't you get financial aid then instead of taking out loans?

confused


Professional schools are different Paul. There is not a whole lot of need-based aid available from the outset. Instead, they focus on debt forgiveness. For example, although I have significant student loans, Boalt is currently paying 90% of my monthly student loan bill, and will continue to do so as long as I work in public interest or public sector jobs and make under a certain income threshhold. Instead of subsidizing me up front, Boalt subsidizes me after graduation.

At Boalt sticker price goes up to subsidize paying off my loans for me. At the undergrad level sticker price goes up to lower the cost of attendence on the front end.





A somewhat different paradigm is the one in the world of graduate school for science.

20 years ago the rule used to be that you didn't get an advanced degree in the STEM fields unless you were accepted as a stipended student (tuition paid with a (very) modest salary paid to you in return for being a TA or lab slave while taking coursework) or unless your company paid for it for you...

If you were in a Ph.D. program and paying for it yourself, you were kind of a laughing stock and in general, I don't think too many graduate schools even admitted you if they couldn't justify a stipend for you - I could be wrong about that but I never even considered non-stipended graduate programs myself... Now if you were going to medical school, it was just like Yuki says for Law School - you took out a boatload of loans and there were opportunities to get your loans forgiven or paid by places like indian reservations or whatnot, in return for going there to practice for X number of years - there was a TV show "Northern Exposure" that featured a Dr. doing this I believe...


Anyway... I wonder now, how many people are out there in the STEM fields getting graduate degrees which are putting them into debt. Generally speaking, 20 years ago, the only advanced degrees that you paid for were in the humanities or MBA/JD/MD/DO degrees... not sure how much of this has changed now.

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
I think STEM has become so overused that it's starting to lose any meaning. When many schools now offer a Bachelor of Arts in Computer Science, something has gone wrong.

 

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Yukishiro1 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
Whether it's increased costs or decreased funding, the end result is pretty much the same.


It may be the same from the perspective of the student but in terms of how to fix the problem it's totally, completely different.

All the crying about increased costs creates a false narrative which makes people misidentify the problem. The result is threads like these where RWNs become convinced that giving people student loans is the problem, when that really just isn't true.

 

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Cawlin 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
I think STEM has become so overused that it's starting to lose any meaning. When many schools now offer a Bachelor of Arts in Computer Science, something has gone wrong.


I don't know about the overuse of the term - I suppose I may "overuse" it when I talk in these threads, but it's far easier than saying, biology, chemistry, engineering, mathematics, physics, computers...

With that said, and regarding the whole "BA" of Computer Science thing - the terms "BA and BS" are actually meaningless.

When I graduated in 1992, it was from a "liberal arts" college. I had the choice, based on the curriculum I studied, to have my degree be a BA or BS - as did every person there who graduated with a science degree. The humanities degrees were only given the option for BAs...

I just think that it's stupid to have the BA/BS delineation any longer - either you have a bachelor's degree or you don't. The courses in my transcript don't look any different than any other person's with a physiology degree from any other good college back in 1992.

 

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paulg_68 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
At my school I had the option of either BA or BS for my degree. Only difference was if I wanted a BA I had to take 6 credit hours of a foreign language.

/shrug

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Cawlin 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
paulg_68 posted:
At my school I had the option of either BA or BS for my degree. Only difference was if I wanted a BA I had to take 6 credit hours of a foreign language.

/shrug

coffee


They built all the "BA" stuff into our curriculum as part of the "core requirements" for getting any degree at my school - not that it was specifically foreign language, but they required us to take various "humanities" courses outside of our major... not too much unlike any 4 year college - but the options were a bit more directed - I couldn't have done say a physiology and biochemistry dual major and bypassed all the humanities coursework and still gotten my degree...

 

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ZigmundZag 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
Cawlin posted:
ZigmundZag posted:
I think STEM has become so overused that it's starting to lose any meaning. When many schools now offer a Bachelor of Arts in Computer Science, something has gone wrong.


I don't know about the overuse of the term - I suppose I may "overuse" it when I talk in these threads, but it's far easier than saying, biology, chemistry, engineering, mathematics, physics, computers...

With that said, and regarding the whole "BA" of Computer Science thing - the terms "BA and BS" are actually meaningless.

When I graduated in 1992, it was from a "liberal arts" college. I had the choice, based on the curriculum I studied, to have my degree be a BA or BS - as did every person there who graduated with a science degree. The humanities degrees were only given the option for BAs...

I just think that it's stupid to have the BA/BS delineation any longer - either you have a bachelor's degree or you don't. The courses in my transcript don't look any different than any other person's with a physiology degree from any other good college back in 1992.
I don't necessarily mean you in particular. I hear it at work, too, and usually it's to refer to a cohort of students that fits the needs of a particular study at a particular time.

These days, the curricula around CS degrees can vary widely, from one or two programming courses with a lot of project management fluff to upper level math, compiler and OS design and the like.

 

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Abaddon_Ambrosius 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
paulg_68 posted:
At my school I had the option of either BA or BS for my degree. Only difference was if I wanted a BA I had to take 6 credit hours of a foreign language.



My school had meaningful differences in BA vs BS degrees. I graduated in '92.

I had to take at least: 5 extra credit hours of higher math, 5 extra credits of a 300-level course from a selection of hard science courses related to my degree, and a third related course (in my case, accounting).

If you didn't know by Sophomore year about the BS requirements and you filled up instead on softer BA-related elective courses, you wouldn't finish your degree in 4 years.

 

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Cawlin 
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Subject: Student Loan Bubble
ZigmundZag posted:
I don't necessarily mean you in particular. I hear it at work, too, and usually it's to refer to a cohort of students that fits the needs of a particular study at a particular time.

These days, the curricula around CS degrees can vary widely, from one or two programming courses with a lot of project management fluff to upper level math, compiler and OS design and the like.


Fair enough - I am fairly out of touch with what exactly a "CS" degree really means nowadays anyway, I suppose my understanding of that is somewhat lacking. Point taken and thanks for the clarification and correction.

Abaddon_Ambrosius posted:
paulg_68 posted:
At my school I had the option of either BA or BS for my degree. Only difference was if I wanted a BA I had to take 6 credit hours of a foreign language.



My school had meaningful differences in BA vs BS degrees. I graduated in '92.

I had to take at least: 5 extra credit hours of higher math, 5 extra credits of a 300-level course from a selection of hard science courses related to my degree, and a third related course (in my case, accounting).

If you didn't know by Sophomore year about the BS requirements and you filled up instead on softer BA-related elective courses, you wouldn't finish your degree in 4 years.



I can't really remember what the specifics were for it in my school - but I had to take a number of credit hours and classes up to 200 level in humanities, not just English.

There were some oddball key course requirements, like you had to take all the specific classes for your major which went all the way into 12 credits or more of 400 level coursework, then you would have like the option as a science major to take either this, that, or the other 300 level humanities course, each of which were offered only every other spring or fall semester or the like - if you didn't plan ahead on those you would DEFINITELY get burned. Also there was no taking O-chem 2 in Fall semester for example - all the usual stuff with that...

For example, if you went to Penn State for a physiology degree, you would take all the same exact courses within your major that I took - I had an option for an undergraduate (mostly) independent research project as a matter of course that I think a lot of people in larger schools didn't get the opportunity for, and instead of adding coursework randomly as pure electives like at a school like Penn State back then, I was required to take various humanities to some depth... I don't know if I think one was more rigorous than another, and I don't think it really mattered in the end except with respect to some nebulous concept of receiving a "well rounded" education.

The truth is, I could have finished the coursework within my major in about 5 semesters rather than 8 with the remaining 3 semesters just being used to make me more "well rounded" - which really meant more drinking time and in which case, I literally became more rounded at least - especially after my shoulder stopped working and I couldn't play baseball during spring semester my senior year tongue

 

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